By Jane Harman, Special to CNN
Editor’s note: GPS asked Jane Harman, director, president and
chief executive officer of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for
Scholars, for her take on Russia’s annexation of Crimea and how the
United States and Europe should respond. The views expressed are her
own.
Many of us have said for years that terrorists have attacked us
asymmetrically, where we are weakest. We've also said that they only
have to be right once, whereas we have be right 100 percent of the time.
Well, apply that to Ukraine. Putin found Ukraine’s weakest point and
exploited it. Russia inserted a trained covert force in Crimea quickly
against Ukraine’s small military force and ineffective government. The
Russians were strong, the Ukrainians were weak.
The response of the West should be to use our own comparative
strength against Russia’s weakness. We have a strong economy and a
robust energy future. Their economy is riddled with corruption and
depends on Russia being a gas station to Europe and elsewhere.
We have to rein in Putin to prevent him from further aggressive actions. Here’s a four-point potential roadmap:
Targeted sanctions: The Obama administration, European Union
and Canada have made a good start in putting sanctions on senior Russian
officials. They can do more by imposing international sanctions modeled
after those imposed on Iran. President Obama just authorized sanctions
on investments in Russia’s energy and industrial sectors as well as
Russian bank activities around the world. But if and when imposed, they
may not cover holdings by oligarchs outside Russia. Expect pain for some
U.S. companies operating in Russia, the high priced condo markets in
London and New York and restaurants in the South of France that many of
Russia’s oligarchs frequent. But done right, this could be a game
changer well worth the short term sacrifice.
Help Ukraine elect competent leaders in May: A new
transparent, competent and pluralist government must make it clear that
Russian-speaking Ukrainians are welcome in Ukraine. The new government
should qualify to receive desperately needed economic aid from the U.S.,
E.U., the International Monetary Fund and others. Congress must stop
partisan wrangling and pass the $1 billion in aid for Ukraine.
Complete negotiations on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership:
The trade agreement that’s being negotiated between the European Union
and the United States should be passed, as should Trade Promotion
Authority to ratify it. This matters because it would facilitate trade
in all sectors – including energy – by standardizing regulations.
Stronger U.S.-EU economic ties will reduce Putin’s leverage in the
region.
Consider an energy bargain: New York Times columnist Tom Friedman has a smart idea:
get Republicans and Democrats to agree to environmentally safe
extraction, transportation and export of gas, in addition to development
of renewables. Get Europe to look to North America instead of Russia
for energy.
Putin hasn't learned Colin Powell's Pottery Barn rule: You break it,
you own it. He now adds Crimea's broken economy to Russia's. The West
needs to be tough and smart, which means we need to exercise our
asymmetric power against him.
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